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IF,
as the 9/11 Commission concludes, our "failure of imagination"
left America open to the attacks of September 11, then surely some
imagination is called for in tackling one of the riddles that stumped the
commission: Where exactly did Osama bin Laden get the funding to set up
shop in Afghanistan, reach around the globe, and strike the United States?
So let's do some imagining. Unfashionable though it may be, let's even
imagine a money trail that connects Saddam Hussein to al Qaeda.
By 1996, remember, bin Laden had been run out of Sudan, and seems to
have been out of money. He needed a fresh bundle to rent Afghanistan from
the Taliban, train recruits, expand al Qaeda's global network, and launch
what eventually became the 9/11 attacks. Meanwhile, over in Iraq about that
same time, Saddam Hussein, after a lean stretch under United Nations
sanctions, had just cut his Oil-for-Food deal with the U.N., and soon began
exploiting that program to embezzle billions meant for relief.
Both Saddam and bin Laden were, in their way, seasoned businessmen. Both
had a taste for war. Both hated America. By the late 1990s, Saddam, despite
continuing sanctions, was solidly back in business, socking away his
purloined billions in secret accounts, but he had no way to attack the
United States directly. Bin Laden needed millions to fund al Qaeda, which
could then launch a direct strike on the United States. Whatever the
differences between Saddam and bin Laden, their circumstances by the late
1990s had all the makings of a deal. Pocket change for Saddam, financial
security for bin Laden, and satisfaction for both--death to Americans.
Now let's talk facts. In 1996, Sudan kicked out bin Laden. He went to
Afghanistan, arriving there pretty much bankrupt, according to the 9/11
Commission report. His family inheritance was gone, his allowance had been
cut off, and Sudan had confiscated his local assets. Yet, just two years
later, bin Laden was back on his feet, feeling strong enough to issue a
public declaration of war on America. In February 1998, in a London-based
Arabic newspaper, Al-Quds al-Arabi, he published his infamous fatwa
exhorting Muslims to "kill the Americans and plunder their
money." Six months later, in August 1998, al Qaeda finally went ahead
with its long-planned bombing of the U.S. embassies in Kenya and Tanzania.
Bin Laden was back in the saddle, and over the next three years he shaped
al Qaeda into the global monster that finally struck on American soil. His
total costs, by the estimates of the 9/11 Commission report, ran to tens of
millions of dollars. Even for a terrorist beloved of extremist donors,
that's a pretty good chunk of change.
The commission report says bin Laden got his money from sources such as
a "core group of financial facilitators" in the Gulf states,
especially corrupt charities. But the report concludes: "To date, we have
not been able to determine the origin of the money used for the 9/11
attack. Al Qaeda had many sources of funding and a pre-9/11 annual budget
estimated at $30 million. If a particular source of funds had dried up, al
Qaeda could easily have found enough money elsewhere to fund the
attack."
Elsewhere? One obvious "elsewhere" that no one seems to
have seriously considered was Saddam's secret geyser of money, gushing from
the so-called Oil-for-Food program. That possibility is not discussed in
the 9/11 report, and apparently it was not included in the investigation. A
9/11 Commission spokesman confirms that the commission did not request
Oil-for-Food documentation from the U.N., and none was offered.
Why look at Oil-for-Food? Well, let's review a little more history. When
Saddam invaded Kuwait in 1990, the U.N. imposed sanctions, which remained
in place until 2003, when the United States and its allies finally toppled
Saddam. But in 1996, with the aim of providing for the people of Iraq while
still containing Saddam, the U.N. began running its Oil-for-Food relief
program for Iraq. Under terms agreed to by the U.N., Saddam got to sell oil
to buy such humanitarian supplies as food and medicine, to be rationed to
the Iraqi population. But the terms were hugely in Saddam's favor. The U.N.
let Saddam choose his own business partners, kept the details of his deals
confidential, and while watching for weapons-related goods did not, as it
turns out, exercise much serious financial oversight. Saddam turned this
setup to his own advantage, fiddling prices on contracts with his
hand-picked partners, and smuggling out oil pumped under U.N. supervision
with U.N.-approved new equipment. Thus did we arrive at the recent General
Accounting Office estimate that under Oil-for-Food, despite sanctions,
Saddam managed to skim and smuggle for himself more than $10 billion out of
oil sales meant for relief.
And the timing gets interesting, especially the year 1998. Not only was
that the year in which bin Laden signaled his big comeback in Afghanistan.
It was also the year in which Oil-for-Food jelled into a reliable vehicle
for Saddam's scams, a source of enormous, illicit income.
Oil-for-Food was set up as a limited and temporary measure, starting
operations in late 1996 with somewhat ad hoc administration by the U.N.,
and a mandate that had to be renewed by the Security Council every six
months or so. Less than a year into the program, however, on October 15,
1997, U.N. Secretary General Kofi Annan consolidated Oil-for-Food into what
was effectively a permanent U.N. department--the Office of the Iraq
Programme (OIP)--headed by a long-serving U.N. official, Benon Sevan. The
Security Council still had to renew the mandate twice a year, but the
process became routine.
Saddam began pushing the envelope, and it was quickly clear he could get
away with a lot. Just two weeks after Annan set up the OIP, Saddam imposed
conditions on the U.N. weapons inspectors that made it impossible for them
to operate. Instead of shutting down Oil-for-Food, Annan on February 1,
1998, urged the Security Council to more than double the amount of oil
Saddam was allowed to sell, a prelude to letting Iraq import oil equipment
to increase production. Annan then flew to Baghdad to reason with Saddam,
and on February 23, 1998 (having met in one of those palaces built under
sanctions), Annan and Saddam reached an agreement that for at least a while
allowed the weapons inspectors to return.
It was a busy time for al Qaeda as well. That same day, February 23,
1998, Osama bin Laden published his "Kill the Americans" fatwa.
An intriguing feature of this fatwa was its prominent mention of Iraq, not
just once, but four times. Analysts at the CIA and elsewhere have long
propounded the theory that secular Saddam and religious Osama would not
have wanted to work together. But Saddam's secular style seemed to bother
bin Laden not a whit.
His fatwa presented three basic complaints. Mainly, he deplored the
infidel presence in Saudi Arabia (i.e., the U.S. troops stationed there during
and after the Gulf War). He also cited grievances about Jerusalem, while
not even bothering to mention the Palestinians by name. The rest of his
attention, bin Laden devoted to Iraq and "the Americans' continuing
aggression against the Iraqi people" as well as "the great
devastation inflicted on the Iraqi people by the crusader-Zionist
alliance" and--here is the specific reference to U.S.-led
sanctions--"the protracted blockade imposed after the ferocious
war."
Two paragraphs later, bin Laden picked up this theme again, calling Iraq
the "strongest neighboring Arab state" of Saudi Arabia, and then
citing Iraq, yet again, as first on a list of four states threatened by
America--the other three being Saudi Arabia (bin Laden's old home and a big
source of terrorist funding), Egypt (birthplace of the terrorist Muslim
Brotherhood and of bin Laden's top lieutenant, Ayman al Zawahiri, who also
signed the fatwa), and Sudan (bin Laden's former base).
UNTIL 1998, Iraq had not loomed large in bin Laden's rants. Why, then,
such stress on Iraq, at that particular moment, in declaring war on
America? It is certainly possible that bin Laden simply figured Iraq had
become another good selling point, a handy way to whip up anger at the
United States. But it is at least intriguing that the month after bin
Laden's fatwa, in March 1998, as the 9/11 Commission reports, two al Qaeda
members visited Baghdad. And in July 1998, "an Iraqi delegation
traveled to Afghanistan to meet first with the Taliban and then with bin
Laden."
Later in 1998, Saddam kicked out the weapons inspectors, and he would
keep them out for the following four years. The U.N. in 1999 lifted the
ceiling entirely on Saddam's oil exports and expanded the range of goods he
could buy. It would keep his deals confidential to the end, and it let
Saddam do business with scores of companies in such graft-friendly climes
as Russia and Nigeria, as well as such terrorist-sponsoring places as Saudi
Arabia, Syria, and Sudan, and such financial hideouts as Liechtenstein, Panama,
Cyprus, and Switzerland.
Much of Saddam's illicit Oil-for-Food money has yet to be traced. There
are now at least eight official investigations into various aspects of
Oil-for-Food, but none so far that combines adequate staffing and access
with a focus on Oil-for-Food itself as the little black book of Saddam's
possible terrorist links. The same kind of bureaucratic walls that once
blocked our own intelligence community from nabbing al Qaeda are here
compounded by the problem that Oil-for-Food was not a U.S. program, but on
U.N. turf. And though the U.N. is the keeper of many of the records, Kofi
Annan has displayed no interest in investigating the possibility that
Oil-for-Food might have funded terrorists. Nor has the Bush administration
pursued the matter with the speed and terrorist-tracking expertise it
deserves. Millions of documents believed to contain details of Saddam's
Oil-for-Food deals, quite likely including leads to his illicit side deals,
are reportedly locked up in Baghdad, socked away there by Paul Bremer this
past spring, awaiting an audit from Ernst & Young that is just now
getting underway--and not necessarily focused on possible terrorist ties.
The U.N.'s own investigation, led by former Federal Reserve chairman Paul
Volcker, seems interested mainly in the U.N. itself. Various congressional
investigators who, unlike the 9/11 Commission, are looking at
Oil-for-Food, have had a hard time prying even the most basic documents out
of the U.N.
The U.S. Treasury Department, in its hunt for Saddam's assets, is not
looking specifically at Oil-for-Food, but has provided some of the most
telling snippets of information. In April of this year, Treasury released a
list of Saddam front companies its investigation has so far uncovered,
including a major Oil-for-Food contractor in the UAE, Dubai-based Al Wasel
& Babel. Along with trying to procure a sophisticated surface-to-air
missile system for Saddam, Al Wasel & Babel did hundreds of millions'
worth of business with Baghdad under Oil-for-Food, and was just one of some
75 contractors authorized by the U.N. to deal with Saddam out of the UAE.
(As it happens, the 9/11 Commission found that some of the hijackers'
funding flowed through the UAE, but working backward from the al Qaeda end,
the trail eventually vanishes.)
But enough of facts. Let's return to the realm of possibility. Imagine:
From about 1998 on, Oil-for-Food became Saddam's financial network, a
system he gamed to produce huge amounts of illicit income, in partnership
with folks who helped him hide and spend it. If some of that money was
going to al Qaeda while Saddam was in power, it may still be serving as a
terrorist resource today. Amid all the consternation over missed signals
and poor coordination leading up to September 11, is it too much to ask
that someone versed in terrorist finances, and able to access both the U.N.
Oil-for-Food records and the documents squirreled away in Baghdad, take a
look--an urgent, detailed, systematic look--at whether Saddam via his
Oil-for-Food scams sent money to al Qaeda?
For such a deal, both Saddam and bin Laden had motive and opportunity.
And if you read bin Laden's 1998 fatwa with just a little bit of
imagination, those mentions of Iraq, at that particular moment, in those
particular ways, carry a strong whiff of what is known in our own society
as product placement: a message from a sponsor.
Claudia Rosett is journalist-in-residence with the Foundation for the
Defense of Democracies and a columnist for OpinionJournal.com.
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